LABOUR 20% AHEAD & REFORM JUST 2% BEHIND TORIES, NEW POLL SHOWS
LABOUR hold a 20% lead in the race for Number Ten and the Tories are now just 2% ahead of Reform, a new poll reveals tonight.
The People Polling poll* for GBNews shows Labour at 39%, the Tories on 19% and Nigel Farage’s Reform on 17%.
The poll of 1,234 people also revealed that 24% of Brits think worse of Rishi Sunak after he left the D-Day remembrance ceremony early.
Brits are also largely unhappy with the options of who to vote for this year.
When asked which leader and party they’d like to see running the country after the coming election, the most popular option was ‘none of the above’ (26%), followed by Keir Starmer and the Labour Party (22%).
Commenting, Prof Matthew Goodwin, the director of People Polling, said Reform could overtake the Conservatives.
He told GBNews: “This poll is bad news for Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives: Labour on 39 percent, the Conservatives on 19 percent. The Reform Party just two points behind on 17 percent, within the margin of error.
“So what we’re seeing I think here is real evidence that that inflection point potentially, that point at which Reform begins to draw level or even potentially replace the Conservatives, is very much on the horizon.
“I think it could [happen as soon as next week] and I think if it does happen, all bets are off. I think that will encourage Conservatives to defect, it will encourage donors to move behind Nigel Farage and it will give him new momentum.
“Don’t forget there are about 10 to 13 percent of voters today in the country who say they don’t know who they’re going to vote for. How’s that going to influence their vote choice?
“So there’s a lot of known unknowns here but the key point is a 20-point lead for the Labour Party that is more than what they need for a majority.
“The Conservatives this week across all polls averaged 21 percent. This is historic territory. This is Extinction level event type territory.
“D-Day, the anniversary, and how Rishi Sunak handled that was unquestionably a complete disaster for Rishi Sunak.
“In our polling we find that about one in five voters are saying that has made them think more negatively about the Prime Minister.
“Now obviously a large number of those people are already saying they already thought negatively about Rishi Sunak and I think this is an open goal for Nigel Farage, this is an open goal for the Reform party because what they’re going to say is,does this guy actually believe in Britain? Does he believe in our history? Does he believe in our culture? Does he believe in who we are?
“And so I’m puzzled as to what on earth is going on around Rishi Sunak.”
*People Polling is a member of the British Polling Council
FULL RESULTS
If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for? (Likely voters)
Conservative 19%
Labour 39%
Liberal Democrat10%
Reform UK 17%
Other 13%
Imagine you could choose any of the following to run the country after the general election. Who would you choose?
Rishi Sunak and the Conservative Party 9%
Keir Starmer and the Labour Party 22%
Ed Davey and the Liberal Democrats 6%
Nigel Farage and the Reform Party 15%
None of the above 26%
Don’t know 21%
How has Rishi Sunak leaving a D-Day remembrance ceremony early affected your opinion of him?
Think worse of Rishi Sunak: 24%
Think better of Rishi Sunak: 1%
No change, still negative: 40%
No change, still positive: 10%
Don’t know: 26%
How will the Sunak’s pledge to cut National Insurance by 2 pence and potentially abolish it affect your vote in the 2024 general election?
More likely to vote Conservative: 8%
Less likely to vote Conservative: 8%
No difference, was not planning to vote Conservative: 51%
No difference, already planning to vote Conservative: 8%
Don’t know: 25%
On security and the jurisdiction of a foreign court which of the following comes closest to your view?
UK security above foreign courts: 42%
Foreign courts above UK security: 4%
Balance UK security and foreign courts equally: 24%
Don’t know: 30%
