THIS horse is most likely to win the Grand National, historic data reveals
The Grand National is often dubbed the most prestigious horse race in the world, regularly raking in millions in bets. The estimated global audience of the Grand National is over half a billion.
However, due to the uncertainty of the race, millions of first-time punters and even horse race experts struggle to pinpoint which horse is going to take home the mammoth £561k first place prize.
With this in mind, the experts at Gamblingdeals.com decided to investigate every winning horse since the race began in 1839 to uncover the most common characteristics of winning horses, potentially determining who could be in with a chance at this year’s race.
Key Points
- According to historical data, Cloth Cap is most likely to win the 2021 Grand National.
- The most common Grand National winning horse is in the 10 stone range.
- The most common age of a Grand National winning horse is 9 years old.
- Jockeys who wear green have won the most Grand Nationals in the past 50 years.
- Nearly 50% of horses with one-word names have won the Grand National.
- The most popular first initial of a Grand National winning trainer is ‘J’ with 25 wins.
The horses to look out for in the 2021 Grand National
|
Horse name |
Riding colours |
Age |
Weight |
Trainer |
Odds |
Matching characteristics with previous winners (riding colours, age, weight, trainer first initial, horse first initial) |
|
Cloth Cap |
Green and Yellow |
9 |
10-5 |
Jonjo O’Neil |
7-2 Favourite |
4 |
|
Any Second Now |
Green and Yellow |
9 |
10-9 |
T Walsh |
10-1 |
3 |
|
Kimberlite Candy |
Green and Yellow |
9 |
10-10 |
T Lacey |
12-1 |
3 |
|
Class Conti |
Green |
9 |
10-6 |
W Mullins |
33-1 |
3 |
|
The Long Mile |
Green and Yellow |
7 |
10-4 |
J P Dempsey |
40-1 |
3 |
From this year’s expected line-up, it is hard to look past Cloth Cap who perfectly matches the age, weight, trainers name and jockey colours of a typical Grand National winner, following Gamblingdeals.com’s analysis. Trainer Jonjo O’Neill’s horse is currently placed as the bookies’ favourite and will undoubtedly be a popular choice come race day.
The following four horses all match three characteristics of previous Grand National winners but are ranked due to their current odds in the upcoming race. Next is Any Second Now and Kimberlite Candy with both horses matching the age, weight and riding colours of typical Grand National winners.
Although currently placed as an outsider at 33-1 by Paddy Power, Class Conti ranks next after matching the weight, age and riders’ colours of previous National winners.
Finally, The Long Mile places fifth after matching the most common jockey riding colours, weight and the first letter of the trainer’s name of previous winners.
